By Colin Austin
Living most of my life in Auckland, I am very familiar with the variability of the Auckland motorway system. Generally speaking, if you’ve got a long distance to cover the motorway is the best bet. Occasionally you will spot the flicker of brake lights ahead and you know that things might slow down for a while, but once you get passed that slow spot, you’ll be back on track.
In very heavy traffic, we can be tempted to take the off-ramp, use the slower suburban roads for a while, and re-join the motorway when we think things might have improved. Occasionally this strategy might work, but if we were to hit the off-ramp every time we saw the flicker of brake lights ahead, or got the slightest inkling that there might be delays, we would be on and off the motorway every other exit. Most of the time, staying on the motorway is the best strategy, even with heavy traffic.
It’s the same with investing. Research and history shows us that the fastest and best way to reach our financial goals is to include an investment in shares. While there can be volatility, or short periods of time when other asset classes (e.g. fixed interest) can outperform shares, over the long term, shares outperform all other major asset classes. Staying invested in the market and accepting that sometimes we might feel we would be better off taking a different route is better than trying to time our entries and exits from the market. If we tried to time the market and got out or in every time we saw the flicker of brake lights ahead, we would risk exiting when prices are slightly down, and then buying back into the market after prices have recovered. We would lose ground every time.
Continuing the analogy, we reduce risk by diversifying our clients’ portfolios, ensuring we are not putting all our eggs in one basket, or in one vehicle on the motorway. We are investing in many different styles of funds and in a wide range of companies across several industries, markets and countries. Furthermore, depending on each client’s risk profile, we only have a portion of any portfolio invested in shares. The balance of the portfolio is already invested in slower moving, fixed interest investments.
We have started to see the flicker of brake lights ahead in international share markets. There are concerns over the potential exit of Britain from the Euro (which are subsiding) and uncertainty over the US elections. This is likely to mean that we will enter a period of falling share market prices. While we could lurch to the left and take the next exit, we believe that this would be a potentially costly mistake. Our advice is to expect that there will be some delays ahead, but stick to the strategy that will provide the best long term outcome.
As always, if you have any questions, please give your adviser a call.
Yes, it is tax time… If you have had a change of tax rate or change in income this last year please let your adviser know NOW.
Tax rates are important especially for investments, when you have them with fund managers. These tax rates are called your PIR – Prescribed Investor Rate. If you have invested in or are considering investing in a certain type of portfolio investment entity (PIE) such as a KiwiSaver scheme, then you will need a prescribed investor rate (PIR) to give to the PIE along with your IRD number.
Here is the link to the IRD website to check that you have your PIR correct:
If you have given your adviser/fund manager your PIR and you now think it is changed you can check what to do from the link below. If you are investing through a Trust you have options, you may choose a 28% or 0% tax rate, depending on your circumstances. The information about all obligations is listed in the IRD website here:
If you have any questions about this please discuss it with your financial adviser or fund manager.
On a more enjoyable note, it is also feijoa time, apple and feijoa crumble, yum!
The kiwifruit need just a bit more colder weather and it will be time to pick them too.
This amazing event was held in Wellington this weekend. Over 1200 people entertained thousands over four nights. I went on Friday night, not expecting much, as I had no idea what it was or why it was special. I was so proud to be a kiwi, the rendition of Pokarekare Ana was spectacular, and here is a link to video to prove it (although it was much more powerful to be there with the audience humming the tune).
Well done New Zealand, if you are back again in 10 years I will be getting tickets and bringing the family.
I have added a couple of photos, neither of which explain the shear volume of people at the “cake tin” or the amount performing, but you get the idea.
Well done and congratulations to Harbour Asset Management!
New Zealand Fund Manager of the Year 2016 – Harbour Asset Management
Harbour is an outstanding steward of its investors’ capital and the well-deserved winner of Morningstar’s overall award for New Zealand funds management excellence. Originally established as a domestic equities house, the firm has expanded its offering, which now encompasses fixed interest and global capabilities, in
a sensible and well-structured manner. Performance across all asset classes was top-notch in 2015, with investors benefitting from shrewd security selection and well-judged portfolio positioning in difficult market conditions.
Fund Manager of the Year: Fixed Interest Category, New Zealand 2016 – Harbour Asset Management
Harbour’s Christian Hawkesby and Mark Brown have done an exceptional job at developing the firm’s fixed interest capability since joining forces in 2011. Their sound investment process, backed by detailed economic research and modelling, has resulted in a noteworthy track record to date. Investors looking to diversify their portfolio by including fixed interest exposure need look no further than Harbour.
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
PLEASE CONSULT WITH YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISER FOR PERSONALIZED ADVICE THAT IS APPROPRIATE FOR YOU.
ANZ Investments was last night named International Equities Manager of the year in the 2016 Morningstar Awards.
This is great recognition for their investment team, who were also finalists for Morningstar Fund Manager of the Year and Morningstar KiwiSaver Manager of the Year.
ANZ Investments is the largest fund management company in New Zealand with over $24 billion in Funds Under Management.
Beyond the annual awards, their investment funds are consistently receiving top ratings for investment performance in Morningstar’s quarterly reports.
*Morningstar award winners are selected based on sound methodologies that emphasise outperformance over one, three, and five-year periods. The analyst-driven Fund Manager of the Year awards recognise managers who have not only achieved impressive returns, but also been strong stewards of investors’ money.
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
TO RECEIVE PERSONALIZED ADVICE PLEASE CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISER.
Mint Wins Morningstar Fund Manager of the Year Award
for Domestic Equities
Mint Asset Management has taken out the Fund Manager of the Year award for Domestic Equities at the 2016 Morningstar Fund Manager of the Year awards.
Rebecca Thomas, CEO of Mint Asset Management, said “There are nine years of collective toil behind this win. We are delighted with the award, which is a testament to the rigorous investment process and highly experienced team we have at Mint.”
Tim Murphy, Morningstar Australasia’s director of manager research, said: “The winners of the New Zealand Morningstar Awards have all shown themselves to be first-class stewards of investor capital. The quality of their people, process, parent, price and performance demonstrates their commitment to investors.”
THIS IS NOT ADVICE TO INVEST.
PLEASE SEE YOU FINANCIAL ADVISER FOR PERSONAL RECOMMENDATIONS AS THIS MAY NOT BE APPROPRIATE FOR YOU AS AN INVESTOR.
I often feel that the opening line to most financial commentators should read like the opening line to a fairy tale, or a nightmare. They tell stories about a future that hasn’t happened and make up stories that sound like the markets (read share markets) are driven by computers and not humans.
For the person who is just trying to earn a living, save a bit for retirement and generally get along with others the whole idea that there is many options for their savings is usually overwhelming. This is where we come in, as advisers we understand the majority of options and choose the right one for you. It is not about product, it is about the best solution for you, which may be a product or a service, or nothing at all, you are sorted.
Right now there is a new product on the market, called Lifetime Retirement Income. You may remember annuities, they pay an income to you after you had saved for years to gain a lump sum for them to take the income from. I have seen the conditions of some of these policies, and they are scary. This is different.
Check out their website and see if this type of solution is right for you, then come and talk to us about it, as always there are risks, conditions and terms that must be understood. Come and see us and we will answer any more questions you have, explain the process and be able to guide you through.
This may not be the right solution for you, so come and see us to discuss your options.
DecisionMakers – and while you are there take the FREE risk tolerance test, find out what type of investor you are, or will be.
Sorry this is belated, but congratulations to Frank who won the book Ready for Anything. We hope is it providing some great information and that you find the answers to questions you have. Frank was presented the book by one of our Auckland advisers, Colin Austin.
Two words that are guaranteed to put you to sleep. It is a product that no-one wants, but most people need. I have a different view. If you are educated about what you are paying for and given clear, professional, unbiased advice, then surely life insurance just becomes another part of your financial plan, albeit one that you never want to use. We insure our houses, but I guarantee you that no-one wants their house to burn down.Read More
Is local government all about taxes, or is there something more?
When I think of local government I always think taxes and resource consent. But, if this all it is, why aren’t these functions managed our nation’s capital?
These questions and more are answered in the latest offering from the NZ Initiative,
“The Local Formula Myths, Facts & Legends”
Here is a short excerpt from the Foreward of the report by the head of the NZ Initiative, Dr Eric Crampton.
Krupp and Wilkinson began this work this year so we could start better to understand why local government pursues policies that, to an outside observer, seem utterly daft. Why set zoning rules that ruin housing affordability? Why run consenting processes that seem designed to give every objector the power to veto while putting little or no weight on the voices of those who could have lived in the new apartments or subdivisions? Even simple things, like consenting for a gravel pit, becomes tied down in difficult processes, as Krupp’s report last year on New Zealand’s mineral estate demonstrated.
In short, why does local government sometimes behave as though growth is something to be prevented or contained rather than something to be welcomed?
The Initiative’s new report canvasses some potential explanations but the fundamental problem seems to be political economy. When local government is potentially financially liable for any flaws in buildings that they consent, but sees little upside from faster consenting processes, we should not be surprised that things move slowly. Local political pressures mean councillors supporting new development risk being voted out of office before new residents can move in. Consenting processes empowering Not In My Back Yard objections entrench the status quo and prevent growth. As a bottom line, when local councils bear most of the costs of new development, but the benefits largely flow through to central government, we might reverse the usual conclusions about local government. If anything, it is perhaps surprising that local councils function as well as they do, given their constraints.
This report does not develop policy conclusions… But a report developed in parallel with this one pointed to a process for unblocking regional growth. As Krupp and Wilkinson became increasingly convinced that political economy rather than current financial constraints were the fundamental drivers of some councils’ reluctance to embrace growth, Khyaati Acharya and I proposed regionally based policy reform as potential solution.
Abstracting from the political constraint, restoring housing affordability is a solved problem: allow greater density within our cities’ centres; abolish rules like minimum apartment sizes and minimum parking requirements that push up housing costs;
and end the rules that stop cities from expanding at the fringes.
But abstracting from the political constraint is too much like the proverbial economist’s assuming the existence of the necessary can-opener. The more interesting remaining problem is how to change the underlying political economy so that both local and central government can embrace
growth and change.
This is a great conversation starter.